Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Review of The Lexus and the Olive Tree



Review of The Lexus and the Olive Tree
Thomas L. Friedman (1999)

This book was very popular nearly ten years ago. After reading it at a leisurely pace this past month or so I can fully agree that it touches on many major factors concerning this era of globalization in Korea in a manner serving easy understanding through concrete examples and metaphors. I did not choose to read this book out of hindsight however as I enjoy collecting used titles from alibris.com (at the considerable expense of whathebook)this offering came up at a lovely low price.

My curiosity about this book always focused on the provocative title which describes the world of tradition, and national cultures. This includes the comfort of spirituality, community, religion, and differences in contrast and tolerance. The Lexus may represent a world of convenience, mass production, consumerism, economic interconnectedness, and a mass standardization of product, process and customer service.

What stands out in terms of a notable topic includes Friedman’s description of economic growth contingent upon the putting on of “the golden straight-jacket.” This entails domestic economies compliance with global standards of trade, contract law, and transparency. Such fair trade policies, those which benefit local and international interests equally, equitably and without the taint of informational or cultural bias represent an acknowledgement of the immense power and privilege of being part of the global economy. Those economies responsible and fortunate enough to attract global market investment comply with the needs and goals of speculators and investors worldwide so as to maintain their leveraging capabilities and relationships across wide sources of investment capital.

Korea is often referred to in this book in terms of market forces and reactions or adaptations of local practices to grow more in keeping with international globalization policies whether during the era of the locally termed “IMF Crisis” or as it is known more globally as the “Asian Financial Crisis.” As it is ten years old the last ten years are noticeably absent.

Currently however a different sort of foreign capital flight appears to be taking place in South Korea. Since the elections of the new President, the Honorable Lee Myung Bak, there has been little development of a public policy or plan to adopt a more proactive relationship with the foreign investment community of the world. It appears many Koreans would choose to limit there future comfort and size of the golden straight-jacket out of an unwillingness to collaborate in the dimensions of its size and fit for non-Koreans locally.

Talk and plans of a Korean Tax Capital Rich Canal Project in the press appears a perhaps ominous misdirection of the hard-earned income of the average Korean worker who is often dazzled by showy bits of marketing and advertisement campaigns but for which results and benefits are often lacking.

Especially this development may appear a facile and misguided usage of the President’s considerable power and influence in the construction and heavy industrial sector of the nation geo-politically. While the Sanggye Stream Project was a public relations success, installing a canal which on a cost-benefit analysis provides little or no environmental or globally tuned infrastructural development might satisfy a public desire for an edifice to the tax-payer (as one of my friends argues). However the self-same project might be a disappointing lack of real global development to foreign investors who might at this time seek more improvements in small-business start up or incubator loans, transnational research or partnerships, productivity in the development of a knowledge based economy supported by Korea's web-enabled populace or deeper reforms of inter-governmental policy in terms of integrating global educational and business developments here in Korea which offer opportunities to Koreans and non-Koreans with equanimity.

However, a large scale project of such magnitude defines some of the inherent weaknesses of Korea’s political economy. Centralized planning and government excels at mega-project developments. At the same time narrow hierarchy inadequately invests regional and localized patterns of decision-making present in many other OECD nations. These supply adequate development models to provide road-maps to a less concentrated stratification of planning and decision-making. It may not be a negative positional advantage for a Korean President to wield virtually the entire construction industry of his nation to the developmental benefits of his taxpayers. However international and global investors where and when consulted or perceived as investment partners in Korea’s development might provide alternative patterns to the direction and scale of infrastructural improvements necessary to attract their considerable investment potential. Such a perspective as to the contributions which non-Koreans might add to Korea's list of development options might further the aim of the current government in its “747” plan.

The image of a “747” in most developed nations is that of a workhorse transportation vehicle without any real negative connotations. It has provided steady and fairly reliable service to the world’s international travelling public for nearly forty years. However, it is a large and cumbersome aircraft, with little of current prestige, panache, luster, or comfort to the majority of the travelling public. As a global image to attach to an economic-political plan, it is like advertising that one’s nation seeks to be in some way like a bullock or slow-moving traffic vehicle rather than a gazelle, cheetah, or other lithe, productive, or fast moving globally recognized character of progress.

One might suggest an “A380” plan might make more global sense for some in attracting investors. The “A” could represent seeking to increase Korea’s ratings at Standard and Poor’s or Moody’s Indexes as Friedman would contend this represents the prime investment attractor and the golden aspect of the straight jacket. This would unfortunately require more unbiased and perhaps globally credible regulatory oversight in Korea’s national economic growth plans. Where shareholder interests are heavily protected the gold often appears to outweigh the jacket and could prove painful for local elites accustomed to manipulating their own game plans to ensure hometown successes at the expense of regional growth.

The “3” could represent divesting of political power and decision making away from the perennial focus on Seoul and its environs to that of a federal leadership with truly competitive provincial powers followed by truly competitive municipal powers of decision-making in the attraction of foreign investment. Competition in such plans might provide examples of unique Korean inventiveness, and innovation.

The “8” could represent a Korean recognition that the eight-sided fortification of traditional values and attitudes towards non-Koreans involvement in and influence among Korean society provides few opportunities to install windows or doors to experiment with or develop current positions. To grow a global appreciation of shared interests Koreans might need to realize that capturing gains and creating value for all investors regardless of race, creed, religion or ethnic background is the hallmark of global capitalism. The basic defensive and risk-aversive aspects of Korean political, economic and social community might need to provide greater gaps of opportunity to ensure involved and evolving foreign investment rather than speculation. A widening of acceptance between the structural elements of Korean society to ensure the health and economic prosperity of the core and heart of that society should be the desire of every Korean. Koreans possess all the qualities and aspects of any culture on the earth. Those values which best express a gentile and global Korean identity might grow to possibly require more of the world than an export customer or more of their trade partners in terms of relationship than import source of prestige and/or competitive display of wealth and products.

The “0” might reflect a desire to not only hold and maintain Korea’s position economically in comparison to the OECD but to strengthen that postion with a zero tolerance for Korean companies which do not adequately develop strong trading relationships with non-Korean businesses globally. "No potential investor left out in the cold" would ensure that despite growing global competitiveness zero foreign investors would be repelled from the Korean markets due to local intransigence or unwillingness to participate in multi-dimensional contingencies, negotiations, growth plans, economic development or trade partnerships which equitably distribute the wealth, profits, information, and advantages. Non-Korean investors need to be wooed and are won hearts and minds only to the degree of success in development of a flexible nature for dealing with them in this nation.

Korea has already proven able to adapt quickly enough to retain investment-grade policies and progress which ensure positioning of greater interest than its competitors. However as is described by some concerning the issues of learning English, there needs to be a greater realisation of Korea's interest in the future and plans which enable rather than place limits on that future.

For example, all of the concrete, budgets and profits of construction companies might be better put to expanding current infrastructure in ports, highways, and logistical support for further Kaesong expansion plans. Shaving a few minutes, hours or days off of deliveries could make much of Korea’s desire to improve its international financial status. However it is a demonstration of Friedman’s thesis regarding golden straight-jackets.

In this global age if the political and economic will of a nation is resistant to foreign investment in any way, shape or form, it costs that nation its future developmental successes. For as many construction company sourced advisors the President currently retains one might wish that he would seek the ideas and visions of the world’s great developmental advisors in change process management sourced from corporate, political or advisory capacities far before he pitches the first spade of dirt over another inch of Korea’s most precious resources - scant farmers fields and pure water supplies.

There are many possible local and regional improvements that might make more economic impact and cost the tax-payers far less. To discover these, it is in the Korean identity to listen to one’s family, elders or respected teachers in the delivery of such advice. While few could assume to fill any of those roles as a non-Korean, one might suggest that touring the country’s challenged ports and transportation sectors for information regarding improvements with better benefits than a canal should be made.

Coincidentally these are the Koreans often most in tune and intuitively related to investors, trade partners, entrepreneurs, and global relationship builders. These might also illustrate the experience of constructive concensus which is of the human-kind, one with which past generations of Koreans might easily relate to, the hard work of spirit and personal educational development which is quite independent of any national culture in its benefits.

In maturing one’s own relationships on a global level there might be the possibility that the best plans for Korea’s future do not originate in the successes of construction companies in desert lands but in the hearts and minds of multi-dimensional visionaries, local and global who recognize that the task of attracting and maintaining global investor confidence in the Korean economy should be limitless in its drive to succeed towards such a goal. Friedman explains that such impetus comes from the workers and not the boss. Therefore it may be time for Korean leaders to finally begin listening to their own lower middle classes of managers. Do they have an informed voice? Friedman contends that they often do. Especially if they are encouraged to speak by those who need to learn how to listen.

US crisis tests Fed boss Bernanke




US crisis tests Fed boss Bernanke
Article from: Reuters
By Ros Krasny in Chicago

March 19, 2008 08:49am

THE future job prospects of Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke could hang in the balance as the US central bank wrestles with the biggest global financial market crisis in decades.

The Fed, under Mr Bernanke's guidance, has pulled out the stops in the past couple weeks to push liquidity into shaky credit markets. It has also cut benchmark lending rates from 5.25 per cent to 3.0 per cent since mid-September, with another big rate cut on tap at a policy meeting on Tuesday.

A number of prominent economists, including National Bureau of Economic Research President Martin Feldstein, think the Fed was too slow to respond to the global credit crisis that erupted in August last year and has been swirling ever since.

Ethan Harris, economist at Lehman Brothers, said in a research note that Mr Bernanke has taken a criticism from those who think the Fed has cut rates too much, and those that think they've eased too little.

But Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, gave Mr Bernanke "very high marks" for the credit-market rescue efforts now under way.

"He has done a good job at marshalling the forces and attacking the problems. If there's any finger-pointing, you could point them at the person who left the Fed in February of 2006," Mr Rupkey said, referring to former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan.

Others commended Mr Bernanke's creative approach and innovation solutions to a liquidity crisis that has undercut the impact of traditional monetary policy tools.

"The Fed has been trying to distinguish between macroeconomic risks (for which it lowers the federal funds rate) and liquidity concerns in financial markets," said Thomas Lam, senior Treasury economist at United Overseas Bank Group in Singapore.

Analysts said Mr Bernanke has been guided by his historical knowledge, especially of the Great Depression of the 1930s.

"The Bernanke Fed's actions to date are entirely consistent with the view that in the face of the credit crunch ... keeping the monetary spigots wide open and the banking system as liquid as possible offers the best chance of addressing systemic risk," said Ray Attrill, analyst at 4CAST.

The Fed's steps should gain traction over time, said economists at Deutsche Bank.

"We have heard many investors say that the Fed's rate cut actions are not working and that other measures need to be taken ... When the economy bottoms out and investors believe that the financial crisis is not spreading, there will be some light at the end of the tunnel," they said.

If anything, Mr Bernanke could take a higher public profile during these days of crisis, according to Mr Rupkey.

"People see the Fed chairman as the nation's chief economist, but it seems like the White House and (Treasury Secretary Henry) Paulson are taking the lead," he said.

Fed cut brings markets back from the brink· Bank urged to follow 0.75 point move




Fed cut brings markets back from the brink· Bank urged to follow 0.75 point move

· UK stocks recoup Monday's losses

Ashley Seager and Larry Elliott The Guardian, Wednesday March 19 2008

Wall Street

The US Federal Reserve put pressure on the Bank of England and other central banks last night to follow its lead in warding off a global economic slump when it cut interest rates for the sixth time since the financial crisis began last summer.

Amid calls from the City and business groups for the Bank to act, the Fed cut its key interest rate by 0.75 points to 2.25% in an bid to restore confidence to Wall Street following the bailout of Bear Stearns.

The move was less aggressive than the one point cut financial markets had hoped for, but was enough to push leading shares sharply higher. The Dow Jones closed up more than 400 points up and the Nasdaq technology market experienced its biggest one-day gain in five years.

In a statement the Fed said "financial markets remain under considerable stress", adding that credit and housing market problems would continue to weigh on economic growth. But concerns over inflation and the recent weakness of the dollar led two of the Fed's open market committee to vote for a smaller half-point cut in interest rates.

Financial markets rallied before the Fed's announcement on hopes that Sunday's Fed-inspired purchase by JP Morgan of Bear Stearns - America's fifth biggest investment bank - would mark the end of the financial turmoil.

Markets are now looking to the Bank of England and the European Central Bank to lower borrowing costs. In the UK rates are still at 5.25% in spite of two recent cuts by the Bank while the ECB has rates at 4%.

Responding to the Fed's decision, George Bush said he remained confident about the US economy. "In the long term we are going to be just fine," he said.

But analysts cautioned that with rates now at 2.25%, the Fed might soon run out of ammunition with which to fight the credit crisis. "At the risk of stating the blindingly obvious, there are only 225 basis points between the current Fed funds rate and zero. There are very few bullets left for the Fed to fire," said Nick Parsons, of NAB Capital.

In London the FTSE 100 gained 3.5%, or almost 200 points to close at 5,606, recouping almost all of Monday's losses. Bond prices fell as investors left safe-haven assets to move back into shares.

The Dow Jones had gained more than 2% in advance of the Fed's announcement on relief that earnings at investment banks Goldman Sachs and Lehman Brothers had not been worse than expected. Goldman's profits were down 53% in the first quarter as it made $2bn in writedowns related to the credit crunch. Lehman's profits were down a similar amount but trading losses were partially offset by strong earnings in its merger advisory division. Shares in both banks rose, especially as Lehman's fell on Monday on fears it could follow Bear Stearns into collapse.

"Goldman's report was good and Lehman's wasn't the end of the world," said Sal Arnuk at Themis Trading in New Jersey.

Bear Stearns shares rose as investors bet that a rival bid could emerge for the bank JP Morgan agreed to buy at the weekend for just $2 a share. Bear's shares jumped as high as $8.

But the euphoria was dented by figures showing another fall in US housing starts last month where the origins of the credit crunch lie.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley in New York said that pointed to a further drop of more than 10% in house prices in the coming year, which would represent a 25% fall in two years. The rapid fall in house prices has left many properties worth less than the mortgage taken out on them and is the main reason why credit markets are deteriorating nine months after the crunch began.

Henry Paulson, the US treasury secretary, and a former head of Goldman Sachs, said the economy was in "sharp decline" but continued to resist using the word recession.

"There's no doubt that the American people know that the economy has turned down sharply. To me much less important is the label that's placed on it today. Much more important is what we do about it," he said.

Oil prices were more subdued yesterday after achieving a record high of $111.80 a barrel on Monday. The price rose by about $2 over the day to nearly $108. Gold closed in Europe at just over $1,000 an ounce, having set a record of $1,033 on Monday.

In the UK inflation rose to a nine-month high of 2.5% last month from 2.2% in January, well above the Bank of England's target of 2%. The Office for National Statistics ascribed this to a change in the way it put rises in electricity and gas bills into the figures, but economists said the rise complicated the Bank's task of cutting interest rates .

The British Chambers of Commerce, though, urged the Bank to forget inflation for the time being and cut rates in April.

Figures over the next day or two could be crucial in making up the monetary policy committee's mind. These include unemployment and wage growth data today followed by key retail sales figures tomorrow.

Lehman Brothers' Stock Surges As Quarterly Report Assuages Market About Liquidity




AP
Last Call: Lehman Brothers
Tuesday March 18, 3:59 pm ET
Lehman Brothers' Stock Surges As Quarterly Report Assuages Market About Liquidity


NEW YORK (AP) -- Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.'s stock surged Tuesday after the investment bank reported a profit for the fiscal first quarter and convinced the market its liquidity is not under threat.
The New York-based bank earned $489 million in the fourth quarter, a decline of 57 percent but nothing justifying rumors that Lehman Brothers was in danger of falling victim to the same fate as Bear Stearns Cos.

Standard & Poor's analyst Matthew Albrecht upgraded Lehman Brothers to "Hold" from "Sell." The bank's quarterly report "should assuage fears that it faces any type of liquidity crisis."

Goldman Sachs analyst William F. Tanona added Lehman Brothers to the Americas Buy List, a list of top stop picks. He said he believes the market is overestimating the likelihood Lehman Brothers runs out of cash.

Lehman surged $13.34, or 42 percent, to $45.09. The stock had plunged Monday on fears that Lehman's liquidity was in danger.

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Asian stocks tumble following news of Bear Stearns buyout




Asian stocks tumble following news of Bear Stearns buyout
Monday, March 17, 2008 The Associated Press


Asian stocks plunged and the dollar sank Monday after JPMorgan Chase said it would buy troubled U.S. investment bank Bear Stearns, signalling to investors the depths of the credit crisis.

Oil prices hit a record in Asian trading and U.S. stock index futures were down sharply, suggesting Wall Street would open lower Monday after sinking Friday.

JPMorgan said Sunday it would acquire Bear Stearns for $236.2 million — or $2 a share — in a deal that represents a stunning collapse for one of the world's largest investment banks.

The buyout was aimed at averting a bankruptcy and a spreading crisis of confidence in the global financial system sparked by defaults in the U.S. subprime mortgage market.

But to Asian investors the move suggested the credit woes are far from over and fanned worries that other big American banks are facing serious troubles.

"There is persistent credit uncertainty. Market players have been repeatedly let down, which shows the subprime mortgage problems are so deep-rooted," said Atsuji Ohara, global strategist of Shinko Securities in Tokyo.

"Just buying an investment bank does not solve the problem," he said. "Markets are prodding [the U.S. government] to inject public funds."

News of the acquisition of Bear Stearns stunned investors just before markets opened in Tokyo and Seoul. Both fell sharply before paring some losses in afternoon trading.

Japan's benchmark 225 index sank 3.7 per cent to close at 11,787.51 points, its lowest in more than 2½ years. In Seoul, the Korea Stock Price Index fell 1.6 per cent to 1,574.44 after sagging as much as 3.9 per cent.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index was down 3.8 per cent at 21,377.45 after plunging as much as 5.4 per cent.

Across the Asia-Pacific region, all major stock indexes were down, including markets in Australia, China, Indonesia and the Philippines. India's Sensex dropped 3.8 per cent in morning trading.

"We are worried" about what comes next, Shim Jae-youb, a strategist at Meritz Securities in Seoul, said of concerns that other banks may collapse.

Shim said investors were on guard ahead of the release of quarterly earnings reports from big U.S. investment banks this week, including Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley. Bear Stearns had been scheduled to report its results Monday, though it wasn't clear if it would go ahead with that plan.

ADB lowers India's growth rate to 8 p.c. next fiscal

ADB lowers India's growth rate to 8 p.c. next fiscal

Special Correspondent

NEW DELHI: The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has projected a slowdown in India's overall growth to eight per cent during 2007-08 as compared to the 9.2 per cent growth anticipated this fiscal, mainly in view of the country's inadequate infrastructure and the monetary credit tightening measures initiated to contain overheating in the economy.

In its `Asian Development Outlook' report released here, the multilateral institution, however, noted that a pick-up in economic growth to 8.3 per cent would again be witnessed in the following year. It pointed out that a higher economic growth rate of nine to ten per cent would require infrastructure development at a much faster pace. Briefing newspersons here on Tuesday, ADB's Chief Economist in India, Narhari Rao, pointed out that the overall economic situation would have been worse had the Government not taken any measures aimed at fiscal consolidation.

Forecasting that the various steps initiated by the Government to contain inflationary pressures would yield results, the ADB projected the rate of inflation to slide to a more "tolerant" level of five per cent in both 2007-08 and 2008-09 from over six per cent prevailing now. This, it said, would be as a result of tighter monetary policy, an increase in farm crop acreage, a good rabi harvest and import duty cuts on certain essential commodities.

Explaining how the decline in growth rate would come about during the new fiscal, the report said that while domestic overheating was raising demand, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was being forced to respond by hiking interest rates. The rising interest rates, in turn, would first lead to a dampening in demand for property, followed by "subtle and wide-ranging consequences" in other components, it said.

"These restraints on demand growth from home buyers, manufacturing investors and consumers will be accompanied by fiscal discipline...These forces are expected to moderate growth rates bringing it down to 8 per cent in 2007-08," the ADB report said.

As a consequence, the drop in construction momentum, the report said, was expected to persist through early 2007-08, with knock-on effects on those consumer durable products which benefited from the construction and sale of new homes so far. Coupled with the rise in interest rates, the slowdown trend would continue during the next fiscal year.

On the other hand, while the modest appreciation in rupee value would check export growth, the growth in imports would also moderate owing to easing of demand growth, it said.

While the Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council Chairman, C. Rangarajan, had dubbed the overheating as "still a cyclical phenomenon", Mr. Narhari Rao said: "At the moment, overheating is structural due to infrastructure constraints."

As to whether the RBI would further tighten the monetary policy, Mr. Rao said much would depend on the inflationary track in the days to come. Holding out a warning against likely supply shocks in the kharif harvest during 2007 and beyond, the ADB suggested improved food supply management policies so as to reduce the volatility in commodity prices.

"Minimum support prices and buffer stock targets are not being filled, while measures to augment food stocks through imports have failed. A purely monetary solution to price increase will not work if food prices resume their acceleration," the report warned.

GDP Indicator: Russian growth slows to 30-month low in Jan

GDP Indicator: Russian growth slows to 30-month low in Jan
Source: prime-tass.com
Publication date: 2/11/2008

Russian economic growth slowed to a 30-month low of 6.1% in January, reflecting weaker expansion in services, London-based VTB Bank Europe said in its latest GDP Indicator report released Wednesday.

The figure indicated the weakest rate of economic expansion in Russia since July 2005, VTB Bank Europe said.

The indicator slowed in January from the 6.3% rate registered throughout October-December of last year, the bank said. The Russian economy grew at an annual rate of 6.4% in July-September of last year, according to the bank's earlier GDP Indicator reports.

“The Russian GDP Indicator in January eased back to an estimated annual growth rate of 6.1%,” said Chris Green, senior economist at VTB Bank Europe Research, commenting on the survey. “Underpinning this softening growth profile has been a weakening in the rate of growth in the services sector, although this was somewhat offset by a rise in manufacturing sector activity over the month.”

Despite strong GDP growth in 2007, Green projected the growth rate to slow this year.

“While preliminary official estimates suggest robust GDP growth of around 8.1% in 2007, the latest Russian GDP Indicator survey suggests that the rate of expansion will ease over 2008,” he said.

The survey's seasonally adjusted all-industry index slid to 55.4 in January from 56.9 in December, the weakest combined growth of manufacturing and services sector output in Russia since December 2004, the bank said. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the economy, while a reading below 50 shows contraction.

The GDP Indicator is derived from VTB Bank Europe's Purchasing Managers Indices (PMI), which are surveys of business conditions in the manufacturing and service sectors of Russia. By weighing together the output measures from these surveys, an indicator of total output is produced.

U.K.-registered VTB Bank Europe, formerly known as the Moscow Narodny Bank, is a subsidiary of Russia's second largest bank, state-controlled VTB Bank.

Domestic demand fuels Brazil’s growth

Domestic demand fuels Brazil’s growth
By Jonathan Wheatley in São Paulo


Published: February 26 2008 23:28

Data this week showing that Brazil ran up a current account deficit of $4.23bn in January should, on current performance, be cause for alarm.

The figure was much worse than the $2.7bn (€1.8bn, £1.4bn) expected by many economists and gave Brazil its first accumulated 12-month deficit (of $1.17bn) in five years. Nor does this look like a hiccup. Most economists expect deficits to continue at least for the rest of the year.

So the fact that the country’s trade surplus is likely to shrink from about $40bn last year to about $33bn this year should be a worry.

Yet the shrinking trade surplus will be caused not by falling exports, which are still rising, but by even more quickly rising imports. Rising employment and wages, cheaper credit and higher rates of investment have made the domestic economy Brazil’s new engine of growth.

Indeed, while the current account – which adds up the value of imports, exports, services, interest on foreign debt, tourism and other transfers – is going into the red, the capital account – covering foreign direct investment, portfolio investment and debt – is strongly in the black. In January, it showed a surplus of $7.5bn, driven by foreign direct investment of $4.8bn.

Brazil’s currency, therefore, continues to appreciate. The real was trading at less than R$1.70 to the dollar on Tuesday morning, its strongest level since May 1999.

That has allowed the central bank to go on accumulating reserves, to the extent that Brazil became a net creditor with the rest of the world in January. Foreign reserves stand at about $188bn, some $7bn more than the total stock of public and private sector debt. That has happened even as global financial market turmoil led foreigners to withdraw $3.1bn from Brazilian equities in January, largely to cover obligations in other markets.

Can Brazil shift easily from a dependence on ex­ports and foreign portfolio investment to one on domestic demand and foreign direct investment? Most economists see no reason why not.

“There is no sign of any imbalance so far,” says Alexandre Schwartzman, chief economist at ABN Amro in São Paulo. “Even if the current account does become a problem, the obvious cure is that the currency will depreciate.” Mr Schwartzman says FDI will push Brazil’s overall rate of fixed investment up from about 17.5 per cent of gross domestic product at the end of last year to about 19 per cent by the end of 2008. That should push the rate at which Brazil can grow without provoking inflation to a little more than 4.5 per cent a year.

This is much less than Russia, India and China, the other members of the so-called Bric group of emerging market champions. Most economists say it would grow further if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s government enacted long-awaited fiscal reforms.

But with the speeding growth in recent years having already made Mr Lula da Silva Brazil’s most popular leader in living memory, most Brazilians are likely to remain happy.

Wen: China faces inflation pressure

Wen: China faces inflation pressure

BEIJING, China (AP) -- Premier Wen Jiabao says China faces mounting pressure for prices to rise and must address problems of unstable and unsustainable growth.

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao speaks after the closing ceremony of the National People's Congress Tuesday.

Wen's comments Tuesday at a news conference came as the government has spent months trying to cool a sharp rise in prices that has hit China's poor majority hard.

Wen said the country faces "mounting inflationary pressure" and the "potential risk of drastic economic fluctuations."

The government is struggling to cool inflation that saw prices soar by 8.7 percent in February -- the highest level in nearly 12 years -- driven by a 23.3 percent jump in politically sensitive food prices.

The economy is expected to grow by at least 9 percent this year after expanding by 11.4 percent in 2007.

Monday, March 17, 2008

JPMorgan to buy Bear Stearns for $236.2M US in stock

JPMorgan to buy Bear Stearns for $236.2M US in stock
Sunday, March 16, 2008 The Associated Press


JPMorgan Chase & Co. said Sunday it will buy rival Bear Stearns at the bargain price of $2 US a share in a move aimed at slowing the spreading panic in U.S. financial markets over tightening credit.

JPMorgan said the $236.2 million US all-stock deal has received the required approvals from the federal government and the Federal Reserve.

Bear Stearns' headquarters overlooks the flag for neighbouring JPMorgan Chase headquarters in New York City on Friday.
(Mark Lennihan/AP) The Fed will provide special financing to JPMorgan Chase in connection with the deal. The central bank has agreed to fund up to $30 billion US of Bear Stearns's less-liquid assets.

The Fed also said Sunday it has approved a cut in its lending rate to banks to 3.25 per cent from 3.50 per cent and created another lending facility for big investment banks.

The central bank's official meeting is on Tuesday. Before the emergency move to lower the discount rate, which is the rate at which banks lend each other money, the Fed was widely expected to again cut its headline rate by as much as a full point to two per cent.

The announcement from both the Fed and JPMorgan comes ahead of what some analysts expected to be a brutal day for global stocks. Even before the announcements, New Zealand's markets opened drastically lower before beginning to recover after the deal was unveiled.

A collapse of Bear Stearns could have created a further crisis of confidence in world financial markets amid a deepening credit crunch. JPMorgan's acquisition of Bear Stearns represents roughly one per cent of what the investment bank was worth just 16 days ago.

The deal represented a 93.3-per-cent discount to Bear Stearns's market capitalization as of Friday, and roughly a 98.8-per-cent discount to its book value as of Feb. 29.

"The past week has been an incredibly difficult time for Bear Stearns," the firm's chief executive officer Alan Schwartz in a statement. "This represents the best outcome for all of our constituencies based upon the current circumstances."

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Forgotten Heroes: Canada and the Korean War




Forgotten Heroes: Canada and the Korean War

"It is called Canada's "Forgotten War." Over 500 Canadians died in the United Nations' struggle to repel the communist forces that invaded South Korea on June 25, 1950. To the people they helped liberate, the Canadians were heroes. Yet those who made it home returned to an indifferent country and a government that took 40 years to officially acknowledge their sacrifice."

International caviar trade banned

International caviar trade banned(BBC)
Tuesday, 3 January 2006

Countries wishing to resume exports must come up with a plan
The global trade in caviar and other products made from the wild, endangered sturgeon fish has been banned.


"We were unable to approve the export quotas for this year," a spokesman for Cites, the convention for trade in endangered species, told BBC News.

The ban was imposed for scientific reasons and to bring an end to illegal poaching in the Caspian Sea, he said.

In recent years, about 110-150 tonnes of caviar have been exported each year from the region under a quota system.

Much of this is still available in shops.

Scarce species

The information recently provided by the sturgeon-exporting countries bordering the Caspian Sea, the Black Sea/lower Danube River, and the Heilongjiang/Amur River on the Sino-Russian border indicates that many of the sturgeon species in these shared fishing grounds are suffering serious population declines, Cites said in a statement.

The Secretariat of the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora, or Cites, which represents 169 member countries, said sturgeon exporting countries should adopt a common management plan.

"Countries wishing to export sturgeon products from shared stocks must demonstrate that their proposed catch and export quotas reflect current population trends and are sustainable," said Cites secretary general Willem Wijnstekers.

"To do this, they must also make full allowance for the amount of fish caught illegally," he added.

Registration

Importers such as the European Union also have important obligations, Cites said.

"They must ensure that all imports are from legal sources, and they must establish registration systems for their domestic processing and repackaging plants and rules for the labelling of repackaged caviar.

"Many key importing countries have still not put these measures in place."

Cites says it "remains hopeful" that exporting countries will supply the necessary information to allow the resumption of trade in caviar.

Conservation groups welcomed the ban - but said it would only work if stringently applied, given pervasive caviar smuggling.

Sturgeon have been in dire straits for some time and it has been clear that something drastic had to be done to stop the rampant trade in illegal caviar," said Susan Lieberman, from WWF.

The BBC's environment correspondent Tim Hirsch says countries bordering the Caspian Sea will be given until the end of next week to justify the continuation of a legal export quota.

If the authorities are still not satisfied, our correspondent says, the only legally available imported caviar this year will be tiny quantities produced in sturgeon farms.

Import price growth hits 9-year high

Import price growth hits 9-year high

SEOUL, March 16 (Yonhap) -- South Korea's import prices grew at their fastest pace in over nine years in February due mainly to soaring oil costs, the central bank said Sunday, adding to concerns about the already rising inflation rate.

Import prices in local currency terms jumped 22.2 percent in February from a year earlier, picking up from a 21.2 percent gain the previous month, according to the Bank of Korea (BOK). Compared with a month earlier, import prices climbed 2.7 percent after rising 3 percent the previous month.

The February prices marked the fastest increase since October 1998, when import prices grew 25.6 percent, the BOK said.

"Prices of raw materials and intermediate goods rose amid the South Korean currency's weakness against the U.S. dollar and rising oil prices," the BOK said. Raw material prices surged 49.4 percent on-year last month.

The price of Dubai crude, South Korea's benchmark, jumped 61 percent in February compared with a year earlier. South Korea, the world's fifth-largest crude buyer, relies entirely on imports for its oil needs.

The data comes amid heightened concerns over inflation amid a weaker won. South Korea's consumer price growth slowed to 3.6 percent in February from 3.9 percent in January, but inflation breached the BOK's target range of 2.5 to 3.5 percent for the third month in a row.

The South Korean won fell 1.5 percent against the U.S. dollar on Friday, following a dollar-buying spree among foreign investors after pulling money out of local equities. A weaker won helps improve exporters' earnings by making their products cheaper in overseas markets, but puts upward pressure on inflation.

On March 7, the BOK set its new benchmark rate, the base rate, at 5 percent for March as rising inflationary pressures outweigh growing concerns over a slowdown of the economy.

BOK Gov. Lee Seong-tae warned of rising inflation after a rate-setting meeting, saying that inflation for the full year could be higher than the bank's previous forecast. The central bank forecast consumer prices to grow 3.3 percent this year, up from a 2.5 percent gain last year.

Meanwhile, won-based export prices grew 7.6 percent year-on-year last month as higher oil prices raised the price of industrial goods.

In dollar terms, import prices grew 19.4 percent in February from a year earlier, with export prices gaining 5 percent, the BOK said.

sooyeon@yna.co.kr

President Lee demands sweeping deregulation

President Lee demands sweeping deregulation

SEOUL, March 15 (Yonhap) -- South Korean President Lee Myung-bak said Saturday that the nation's financial and anti-trust regulators need to drastically ease regulations to invigorate the domestic economy.

"The Financial Services Commission and Fair Trade Commission should significantly change their mind-set," Lee told newly appointed officials of the two government regulators.

Lee, the nation's first president with business credentials, appointed Jun Kwang-woo, a former vice chairman of Woori Finance Holdings Co., to head the financial regulator. Baek Yong-ho, a professor of Ewha Womans University, was named head of the anti-trust watchdog.

Lee said that his strong will to soften regulations was behind his appointments of "people without a bureaucracy background" to head the regulators.

Lee, who started his single, five-year term last month, is counting on corporate investment to revitalize the economy.

The president has said he will scrap a law that restricts equity investment by big business conglomerates to 40 percent of net assets in affiliates. Lee's administration also plans to raise the cap on industrial conglomerates' holdings in banks.

U.S. Trade Gap Widens a Bit; Slump Lifts Exports

[U.S.] Trade Gap Widens a Bit; Slump Lifts Exports
(The New York Times – Reuters)


The United States trade deficit widened slightly in January, as oil prices pushed imports higher, even though slow economic growth reduced the demand for many foreign goods.

The monthly trade gap widened less than 1%, to $58.2 billion, held partly in check by a weak dollar that helped propel exports to a record $148.2 billion, a Commerce Department report released on Tuesday showed.

“While the trade gap widened slightly in January,” a senior economist with Bank of America, Peter Kretzmer, said, “it remained well below its average for fourth quarter 2007.” Net exports could add 0.8% to economic growth this quarter, Mr. Kretzmer said, “helping to offset domestic demand growth that has come to a virtual halt in recent months.”

Exports have risen for 11 consecutive months, making them a source of strength for the American economy, which is suffering from crises in housing and the credit markets.

Paul Ashworth of Capital Economics wrote: “Over all, the dollar’s decline and the domestic recession are having the predictable effects on the trade deficit. Unfortunately, much of that improvement is being offset by soaring energy prices.”

Oil imports totaled $27.1 billion in January, a record, as prices for imported oil increased to an average of $84.09 a barrel. In New York trading on Tuesday, crude oil for April delivery continued to rise, settling at $108.75 a barrel, up from $107.90 late Monday.

The petroleum part of the trade deficit exceeded the non-petroleum share for the first time since October 1992, reflecting both the run-up in oil prices and slackening demand for foreign-made goods like television sets, clothing, appliance and furniture.

Imports of industrial machinery and other capital goods also fell in January.

Imports from China, whose currency trades in a range linked somewhat to the dollar, rose nearly 2% in January, to $26.2 billion. Those from European Union nations fell 4.6%, to $27.3 billion.

United States exports rose 1.6% in January, to a record $148.2 billion, led by industrial and consumer goods and food. But shipments to China fell 15.1%, to $5.9 billion.

Friday, March 14, 2008

Regarding HCT and AAA

Regarding HCT and AAA

I guess I have seven to nine words to remind the AAA concerning their position regarding HCT.

These words are:

Clyde

Klukhohn

Japanese

Navaho

code

talkers

world

war

two

These are my references to precedence of anthropologists taking sides in the debate between strangers and friends.

This video also makes a strong statement regarding the kind of war the world is fighting today.

Gold tops $1,000 US an ounce

Gold tops $1,000 US an ounce
Thursday, March 13, 2008 | 4:15 PM ET CBC News


The price of an ounce of gold on Thursday topped $1,000 US for the first time, on a volatile day for world currency, commodity and equity markets.

Gold hit a peak of $1,001.50 US before pulling back. The precious metal finished the trading session on the New York Mercantile Exchange at $993.80 US an ounce, a gain of $13.30 US from Wednesday's close.

The price of the precious metal has gained more than 20 per cent this year and has doubled in the last three years.

Analysts say the stars have aligned for gold.

"Fundamentally, investors are desperate to invest in hard assets like gold as other asset classes face extreme pressure," said Camilla Sutton, a currency strategist at Scotia Capital.

"With the U.S. economic backdrop deteriorating by the day and inflation remaining an ongoing threat, gold makes an ideal investment as it protects against both," she told CBC News.

Sutton said the outlook for gold over the next year "remains bullish," but cautioned that "gold will most certainly take a break at some point from this majestic run."

U.S. dollar hits all-time low against euro

Gold is seen as a safe haven for investors looking for assets that will hold their value in times of steady drops in the worth of the U.S. dollar.

The U.S. currency hit a 12-year low against the Japanese yen and hit another record low against the euro Thursday.

Thursday's U.S. dollar drop was blamed on news that a pair of big funds were facing serious problems that could lead to the liquidation of billions of dollars of investment holdings.

"This will likely become known as the 'Carlyle/Drake rally' (or cave-in, depending on your preference)," wrote Montreal gold analyst Jon Nadler, referring to the market-shaking woes of funds controlled by Washington-based Carlyle Group and New York-based Drake Management.

"The imminent doom of the bond fund and probable demise of the hedge fund sent icy shivers through the financial markets," Nadler, a senior analyst for Kitco Bullion Dealers, said in a morning commentary.

The Carlyle Group fund said late Wednesday it expected creditors would move to liquidate the remainder of the fund, which has more than $16-billion US worth of residential mortgage-backed bonds.

Analysts say each revelation of further losses related to fallout from the U.S. subprime mortgage mess will likely force the U.S. dollar down more.

Many experts say the U.S. economy already appears to be in recession and that view was bolstered Thursday by news that U.S. retail sales in February fell from January's levels — another sign that U.S. consumers are pulling back on spending.

Canadian dollar driven up

The weakness in the U.S. dollar, combined with the strength in gold and oil prices, helped to boost the Canadian dollar by 0.47 of a cent to $1.0146 US.

Oil, which has recently been rising in tandem with gold, set another record high Thursday. It traded as high as $111 US a barrel before finishing at $110.33 US.

Equity markets in Europe and Asia finished in the red, while North American markets recovered from early losses to reach positive territory.

The S&P/TSX composite index erased a triple-digit loss to finish up 146.15 points at 13,443.50. Toronto was led higher by a 3.5 per cent gain for the gold sub-group.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average added 35.50 points to conclude the day at 12,145.74.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index shed 4.8 per cent to at 22,301.64, while the Japan's Nikkei Stock Average gave up 3.3 per cent to close at 12,433.44 points.

European markets made some late day recoveries but still finished lower. In London, the FTSE-100 lost 1.45 per cent. Germany's DAX index shed 1.5 per cent, and France's CAC 40 was also off by 1.42 per cent.

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Dunk that 10% for better living

[Daniel Costello on Finance] Dunk that 10% for better living
The Korea Herald, Wednesday March 12, 2008



Mae West said, "Saving love doesn't bring any interest." Saving money, however, does.

The largest risk associated with saving money -- is not saving any money. There are a lot of unwise things people do with their savings. Imagine foolishly stocking idle bills away under your mattress? Your cleaner might find them there, or you might even forget how much was there in the first place!

As you continually double check your mattress-stuffed savings plan (MSSP), or the ever-popular freezer-filled savings plan (FFSP), you are losing interest that would have otherwise added to your savings. Some people stuff hundreds of dollars into the back of their freezer, or even thousands or more. But, why?

A plethora of banks exists in Korea, each providing savings accounts with guaranteed interest rates on certain minimum fixed amounts over periods ranging from months to years. All have higher rates of interest than your freezer.

These ensure you leave it there. I have heard one of the best guaranteed rates may be found at Nonghyup Bank, where some people might like to count their fingers upon exit. Even a low rate of interest on your savings anywhere is better than none at all, particularly if you are seeking the lowest risk investment you might make.

A savings account would be a first step in that direction. Your biggest challenge is coming up with the spare change to fill that savings account, especially if your sole purpose in life is now focused on paying off debts.

David Chilton, author of "The Wealthy Barber: The Common Sense Guide to Successful Financial Planning," gives advice on the topic of savings plans. Start by diverting as little as 10 percent of your monthly income into a savings account. While this might seem like a lot to divert from your daily living costs, if engaged in with regular frequency you may see a tangible benefit and sizeable savings at the end of as little as twelve months.

Chilton reassures readers that a habitual over-spender will not actually miss that 10 percent of monthly income if it is transferred automatically after payday.

Most people save as little as 2-3 percent of their income annually in developed nations, and it is easy to see why that figure is so small with the number of credit cards most people carry these days. A recent PBS Frontline special on credit card debt revealed that the average American carries eight credit cards -- swallowing up a great deal of potential savings.

If you have more than one or two credit cards -- that's too many credit cards.

Keep your favorite one or two and cut the rest up.

Mae West also said: "You only live once, but if you do it right, once is enough."

So divert 10 percent at least once a month for your introduction to savings on a tight spending budget. You'll never miss it if you never had it and that little pot of gold will soon occupy at least part of your expanding financial planning mind.

Koeran banks and one-year fixed-term deposit interest rates


Daegu Bank 5.6%

Jeju Bank 5.45%

Shinhan Bank 5.4%

Suhyup 5.4%

Woori Bank 5.29%

Kookmin Bank -- 5.25%

Nonghyup 5.25%

Kwang Ju Bank 5.1%

Industrial Bank of Korea 5.08%

SC First Bank 5%

HSBC -- 4.8%


To contact Daniel, visit his website at http://crossculturalreviews.blogspot.com -- Ed.

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

US army enlists anthropologists

US army enlists anthropologists
By Kambiz Fattahi
BBC Persian Service, Washington


The Pentagon is pulling out all the stops in Iraq and Afghanistan.


The aim is to aid US soldiers' understanding of local cultures
It is sending "mine-resistant, ambush-protected" vehicles into the battlefield. It is also using cutting-edge biometric technologies to identify insurgents.

But that is not all. The US military has developed a new programme known as the Human Terrain System (HTS) to study social groups in Iraq and Afghanistan.

The HTS depends heavily on the co-operation of anthropologists, with their expertise in the study of human beings and their societies.

Steve Fondacaro, a retired special operations colonel overseeing the HTS, is keen to recruit cultural anthropologists.

"Cultural anthropologists are focused on understanding how societies make decisions and how attitudes are formed. They give us the best vision to see the problems through the eyes of the target population," he said.

But very few anthropologists in the US are willing to wear a uniform and receive the mandatory weapons training.

In fact, a group known as the Network of Concerned Anthropologists has already circulated a pledge of non-participation in the Pentagon's counter-insurgency efforts.

'Collective genius'

The Human Terrain System currently includes six teams embedded in military units at the brigade and division levels in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Each team is composed of at least one social scientist, usually an anthropologist, a language specialist, and retired army personnel or reservists from special operations, intelligence, and civil affairs backgrounds.

I feel the need to protect the safety, well-being and interests of those who shared with me their knowledge and histories

Anthropologist against the HTS

"You have social scientists to understand the deep complexity of the problems on the ground in the society and the military personnel who then take that information and help apply it to the military decision-making process," says Col Fondacaro.

"Together they bring collective genius to the problems," he adds.

The cost of this "collective genius" is about $400,000 (£200,000) annually for each civilian member of the team, including the soaring cost of kidnapping insurance.

As with many programmes, the Pentagon has partially outsourced the HTS, and defence contractor BAe Systems hires the social scientists.

'Weaponised anthropology'

Winning the trust of the indigenous populations "is at the heart of the struggle between coalition forces and the insurgents", BAe's job advertisement for field anthropologists emphasises.



The HTS teams say they are trying to give the human perspective

But it has not convinced many anthropologists in the US.

Last year, their largest professional organisation, the American Anthropological Association (AAA), called for an end to the Iraq war.

Since then, AAA has set up a national commission to review the involvement of anthropologists in national security work.

Many anthropologists in the US consider it unethical to work with the HTS teams. They are worried about the potential risks to the human subjects of their studies.

"I feel the need to protect the safety, well-being and interests of those who shared with me their knowledge and histories. My ultimate responsibility is to protect them," says a social anthropologist specialising in the Middle East.

A vocal critic, Roberto Gonzalez, professor of anthropology at San Jose State University, accuses the Pentagon of trying to, as he puts it, "weaponise" anthropology.

He believes that HTS units are likely to operate "as full-blown counterinsurgency teams akin to what the British employed in the colonies over a half-century ago".

'Alienation'

But Col Fondacaro dismisses such criticism, insisting that the programme is misunderstood.

"This is different from anything we have faced before. It is a new doctrine, new organisation, new task, and new purpose. People are uncomfortable with new things," he says.

Col Fondacaro believes that since the Vietnam War, many social scientists in the US have been alienated from government service.

He acknowledges that recruiting a qualified social scientist is a significant challenge.

"There is a very brave and very courageous group of young anthropologists helping. They are taking significant risks professionally and physically," he says.

One of these is Dr Marcus B Griffin, professor of anthropology and sociology at Christopher Newport University in Virginia, who blogs actively from Iraq.

"I am working out regularly. I cut my hair in a high and tight style and look like a drill sergeant... I shot very well with the M9 and M4 last week at the range," writes Dr Griffin.

Dr Griffin is not a Middle East Expert. He says on his blog that he specialises in human populations, the environment, and food.

For Dr Montgomery McFate, a main architect of the HTS, anthropologists' "unique set of skills, methodologies and perspectives" are key.

"If the lead social scientist in the team does not have a background in the Middle East, other members must have a strong background in the region to make up for that person. It is a team effort," says Dr McFate, a cultural anthropologist.

She rejects the criticism that she is trying to "militarise" anthropology but rather "anthropologise" the Pentagon.

Rapid expansion

US Defense Secretary Robert Gates has authorised $40m (£20m) to expand the Human Terrain System.

The US Central Command (Centcom) is looking to increase the programme's number of teams in Iraq and Afghanistan from six to 28.

According to Col Fondacaro, the new teams will be larger; they will have nine members, including two social scientists.

He also says that officials at the new US Africa Command (Africom) and the US Pacific Command (Pacom) have also indicated interest in the Human Terrain teams.

The programme, which was being tested on a small scale, is now set to be expanded very quickly despite the strong objections of many anthropologists.

Monday, March 10, 2008

Family fights to save burn victim

It has been reported on the Facebook website that Bill Kapoun has died. However his family still needs assistance in the form of donations to pay for medical expenses.

Family fights to save burn victim

Before third-degree burns on half his body turned his life upside down, Will Kapoun was not just any English teacher - he was a born natural.

"He has three younger brothers that just idolize him and being a teacher is something he really enjoyed. When he would come home from traveling, he would give them projects to do: research and presentations to the family on countries he visited," his mother, Judy Kapoun, said in an interview.

"He was just a born teacher," she added.

On Monday, Feb. 25, a fire tore through his Haebangchon, central Seoul, apartment. Details are still sketchy, but it is suspected the fire started inside the front entrance of his apartment from "a flammable liquid." No other apartments in his building were damaged and no one else was injured.

"We're concentrating on survival, we're not even close to thinking recovery," his mother said.

In his apartment itself, one bedroom was untouched by the fire as the door was shut, Judy told The Korea Herald. "But Will's bedroom and the living room are all totally charred and blistered. The fire and the heat must have been so incredibly intense."
Will, 26, is now in critical condition in an intensive care burn ward at a hospital in Seoul. "He has third-degree burns on over 64 percent of his body. His arms, chest, back, legs - basically the only thing not burned is his thighs," said his mother. "He is still extremely critical; as a matter of fact he took a turn for the worse (Wednesday)."

Will has been undergoing skin graft surgery since last week and had more work done on Monday. But his mother said that he doesn't have enough of his own skin left for more grafts. "He doesn't have enough of his own flesh left to transplant it, so they have to grow flesh in a Petri dish. We had to agree to the cost of that yesterday just to get them started on that."

Cost is another serious issue for the Kapouns. While Will was retroactively added to the Korean National Health Insurance program this week, it is only expected to offset a fraction of the total costs as it does not cover skin grafts. Each operation costs around $15,000. Treatment costs could reach around 145 million won ($150,000) or higher for injuries as bad as Will's.

A Medivac to a hospital in the United States will cost another $170,000. Judy said that Quick County Hospital in Chicago has agreed to take Will in and treat him at no cost to the family - but that they would be responsible for the $170,000 Medivac.
But at this point, said Judy, he is still fighting for his life, and will not be able to be transported for months.

Will is the oldest of five children - his youngest brother is just 12. A family friend in the United States, Abby Cox, explained: "The boys are at home in Alexandria, Indiana, with their grandmother, who is also undergoing cancer treatments."

"(Costs) keep mounting. He had to go on dialysis today and at one point we were given a figure of $150,000, but I think it's going to surpass that greatly because of complications," Judy said.

Will had been working at Bulam Elementary School as a part-time English instructor and was working under 15 hours a week. Under Korean law, employers are not on the hook for health insurance for part-time employees. "Part-time employees are not covered by mandatory health insurance," Brendan Carr, a foreign legal consultant with Hwang Mok Park law firm in Seoul.

Carr also said anyone legally residing in Korea is permitted to retroactively join Korea's national health insurance plan, but that they are liable to costs from the date of eligibility. "If you enroll late, be aware that the insured is required to ante up for all unpaid premiums as from the date of eligibility for cover - i.e., date of arrival. You don't get to buy insurance just when you need it."

So far, national health insurance has covered about 40 percent of the costs. "At this point right now, only about $20,000 of $55,000" has been made up by the insurance, noted Judy.

Responding fast to the family's plight, friends in both the United States and Korea have established financial support channels.

Laura, 22, Will's younger sister, is spearheading awareness and fundraising in the United States from her university in Bloomington, Indiana. With the help of friends, she set up www.billkapoun.com, where online donations are being accepted from people in the United States.

"I needed a way to clearly state what happened to my brother and how people could help. The website has been able to do this," she said. So far, the website has raised about $19,000.

Kin Jin-uk, a family friend, told The Korea Herald a bank account has been established and is now taking donations from people residing in Korea. He noted that the Kookmin Bank account is for direct deposit donations. The account number is 794002-04-03-1635 and the holder name is "Warren Franklin-William Fund."

A blog has also been set up to provide regular updates on Will's condition: www.savebillkapoun.blogspot.com. Fundraising events in Seoul are being planned and will be posted on the blog.

As the money slowly comes in, the Kapouns continue to fight alongside their son. Immediately after the devastating fire, his mother and father came to Korea to be at his side for as long as it takes.

"Will and I have always been really close. I am simply doing everything that I can to make sure that my brother is able to receive everything he needs to recover from this. I hope that people are able to see the human in this story and open their hearts to that," said Laura.

By Matthew Lamers 2008.03.07

Firefighters rescue hikers caught by sudden snowfall


Firefighters rescue hikers caught by sudden snowfall
BY KIRK STARRATT

kstarratt@kentvilleadvertiser.ca

NovaNewsNow.com

Canning firefighters were kept busy a week ago Sunday, helping to locate hikers who got caught in a heavy snowfall on Cape Split.

Deputy Chief Scott Cruickshank said their department participated in the ground search and rescue effort under the direction of the RCMP. He said the two hikers were prepared for snow when they decided to go camping Saturday, but they weren’t expecting to encounter such drastic weather conditions. Forecasts didn’t reflect that the area would receive over a foot of snow.

Luckily, the hikers had a cell phone and were able to call for help. Firefighters dispatched their four-wheelers, but it was difficult navigating the walking trail due to the deep snow and the fact there were a lot of trees fallen across the path. Cruickshank said firefighters had to use chainsaws to clear their way and the rescue effort took about five hours.

Canning responded to several calls for medical assistance last week, including from Canning and Medford on Saturday, March 1; Medford on Tuesday, March 4; and Canning on Wednesday, March 5, Thursday, March 6 and Friday morning, March 7.

Canning firefighters responded to a chimney fire on the Pier Road, Kingsport, Sunday, March 2 and to a chimney fire on Pereau Road, Pereau, Thursday, March 6.

Apparently my friend Ashley was one of the hikers and just completed several series of survival training EMS type certifications.

Sunday, March 09, 2008

[Australia] Exports Tipped to Surge 30%

[Australia] Exports Tipped to Surge 30%
(The Age, Melbourne – Darren Gray)

March 4, 2008 – The value of Australia's key commodity exports of minerals, energy and agricultural products is tipped to soar next financial year to a record $189 billion – a substantial 30% jump on estimated export earnings this financial year – as booming demand continues in China and elsewhere in Asia.

The staggering export forecast was released in Canberra yesterday by Australia's key agricultural economics forecaster, ABARE, which found no immediate major threat on the horizon to the boom in exports of Australian minerals and energy commodities.

Iron ore is tipped to be the nation's largest export commodity in 2008-09, with ABARE forecasting the total value of these exports to jump 61% to $32.5 billion, followed by metallurgical coal (coking coal), which is tipped to jump a whopping 97% to $28 billion, and thermal coal, tipped to jump 80% to $14.6 billion.

The executive director of ABARE, Phillip Glyde, said the Australian minerals and energy sector was enjoying an unprecedented golden era. In the past, it had enjoyed booms, but the booms had then been followed by troughs. But Mr Glyde said that this time around, there were no troughs on the horizon.

"This is unprecedented around the world and it's basically driven by China's economic growth and growth in Asia more broadly," Mr Glyde told The Age. ABARE predicts that the juggernaut of the Chinese economy "will continue to drive growth in energy and minerals markets over the outlook period to 2013".

China's soaring demand for minerals and energy is being propelled by sustained high levels of economic growth – tipped to be 9.7% this year and 9.5% next year – its continued industrialisation and its rapid urbanisation.

While the forecasts from ABARE are more great news for mining and energy companies and for the resource-rich states, in particular Western Australia, it did highlight some hiccups along the way – warning that minerals and energy projects "will continue to be affected by labour and equipment supply difficulties, high project costs and long lead times".

ABARE's Australian Commodities, March Quarter 2008 report also predicts substantial growth for agricultural exports next financial year, up by 18% to $31.4 billion. Wheat is forecast to be the biggest agricultural export earner, tipped to bring in a relatively modest $4.7 billion, which ranks it 10th in the export earnings rankings for major commodities.

Beef/veal is forecast to be the next best performed segment in agriculture in 2008-09, with $4.3 billion in forecast export earnings. The dairy and wine segments are also tipped to perform well next financial year, with dairy generating exporting export earnings of $3.8 billion (up 6%, attributed to higher incomes and a growing taste for dairy produce in China and South-East Asia), and wine $3.4 billion (up 7%).

The minerals resources sector is tipped to export $153.4 billion in 2008-09 – roughly five times the value of exports from Australian agriculture.

Friday, March 07, 2008

Musician Jeff Healey dies of cancer




Musician Jeff Healey dies of cancer
The Canadian Press(Chris Wattie/Canadian Press)

Rock and jazz musician Jeff Healey died Sunday in a Toronto hospital after a battle with cancer, his publicist said.

He was 41.

Healey lost his sight at age one as a result of Retinoblastoma, a rare form of retinal cancer.

Due to his blindness, Healey taught himself to play guitar with the instrument held across his lap while seated.

His unique playing style, combined with his blues-oriented vocals, earned him a reputation as a teenage musical prodigy. He shared stages with George Harrison, B.B. King and Stevie Ray Vaughan.

But Healey's true love was jazz, the genre that dominated his three most recent albums.

His death came weeks before the release of his first rock album in eight years, his website said.

Mess of Blues is slated for a North American release on April 22.

Much of Healey's commercial success came as the frontman for the Jeff Healey Band, a Juno-winning act that achieved platinum record sales in the United States with the 1988 record See the Light.

Despite deteriorating record sales in the 1990s, Healey kept busy with radio shows on the CBC and a local Toronto jazz station where he spun long-forgotten classics from his personal collection of more than 30,000 vinyl records.

The Grammy-nominated musician is survived by his wife Christie and two children.

Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Vacancies at the University of Amsterdam Business School

Vacancies at the University of Amsterdam Business School , The Netherlands

Strategy & Marketing Section





PhD position in Strategy, Innovation and Cimate Change

Vacancy number 08-5003



PhD position in Marketing and Corporate Social Responsibility

Vacancy number 08-5004



For more information about both vacancies, see http://www.abs.uva.nl/abs/vacancies.cfm (or http://www.abs.uva.nl/strategyandmarketing/home.cfm/A00AA7E2-1321-B0BE-A4EDE1927B81EB76)

(see also below for a description of the two separately)







Information about the PhD position in Strategy, Innovation and Cimate Change



The candidate will be supervised by Prof. Ans Kolk and Dr Jonatan Pinkse and will thus be able to profit from the experience built up on business responses to climate change in the past decade at ABS. This project will focus on business and climate change, with specific attention to how companies draw on their strategic and innovative capabilities in developing solutions to climate change. In recent years, interest in cleaner, more climate-friendly technologies - such as solar energy and low-emission cars - has grown very rapidly, and new products and markets are emerging. However, there is not much research that systematically investigates the drivers and implications for companies to move in such directions. The research will combine multiple methods of investigation, qualitative as well as quantitative, and also calls for skills in research liaison with host organizations and good external presentation skills.



Requirements
• Master’s (MA, MSc) in the area of business (business administration, marketing, management, business economics, and with demonstrable interest in the area of strategy)
• Interest (and preferably experience) in field research, including studies focusing on organisations

• Mastery of both written and spoken English



Further information

Applicants who require further information should contact Dr. Pinkse (e-mail j.m.pinkse@uva.nl; tel. +31 20 525 4106). Before getting in touch, those who are interested in this PhD position are advised to take a look at a recent publication ‘A Perspective on Multinational Enterprises and Climate Change: Learning from 'An Inconvenient Truth'?’ (see http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1021793), since the project will build on this work.

The UvA is located in the centre of Amsterdam . For more information on the Amsterdam Business School and its strategy & marketing section, please visit http://www.abs.uva.nl and www.abs.uva.nl/strategyandmarketing.



Appointment
The person appointed on this position will, in line with the collective agreement of Dutch universities, be considered employee of the university and therefore no tuition fee is charged. He/she will receive a monthly salary in accordance with University regulations for academic personnel, which will range from €2,000 (first year) up to a maximum of €2,558 (final year) gross per month.

The appointment will initially be for 1 year, to be extended to a total of 4 years upon excellent performance (an evaluation will be held after 8 months). The PhD thesis should be finalized within four years. In this period, the candidate will also be expected to do some teaching (20% of the time).



Applications
Applicants should send their CV and a covering letter to: Universiteit van Amsterdam, Personnel Department, attn. Bernadette Clemens, Roetersstraat 11, 1018 WB Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Applications may also be emailed to applications-feb@uva.nl. Please include the job reference number. The closing date for applications is 28 March 2008.






Information about the PhD position in Marketing and Corporate Social Responsibility





This project focuses on the influence of corporate social responsibility strategies on consumers in particular. Although CSR has received increased attention, research that systematically investigates how consumers balance conflicting thoughts about companies’ activities, societal developments, and their own needs and responsibilities, has been scarce. The project will consider the interaction between consumers and companies (including the role of managers and employees) and combine multiple methods of investigation, in field and experimental settings. This calls for skills in research liaison with host organisations and good external presentation skills. As the project will be located at the intersection of the fields of management and marketing, candidates from both backgrounds are invited to apply, although familiarity with the marketing discipline is preferred.



Requirements
• Master’s (MA, MSc) in the area of business (marketing, management, business administration, business economics)
• Interest (and preferably experience) in field research, including studies focusing on organisations

• Demonstrated mastery of both written and spoken English



Further information

The supervisors of this project will be Prof.dr. Ans Kolk and Dr. Willemijn van Dolen. Applicants who require further information should contact Dr. van Dolen (email W.M.vanDolen@uva.nl; tel. 31 20 525 4204). The UvA is located in the centre of Amsterdam . For more information on the Amsterdam Business School and its strategy & marketing section, please visit www.abs.uva.nl and www.abs.uva.nl/strategyandmarketing. Deadline for applications is 5 April 2008; interviews with those shortlisted will take place on 28/29 April 2008.



Appointment
The person appointed on this position will, in line with the collective agreement of Dutch universities, be considered employee of the university and therefore no tuition fee is charged. He/she will receive a monthly salary in accordance with University regulations for academic personnel, which will range from €2,000 (first year) up to a maximum of €2,558 (final year) gross per month.

The appointment will initially be for 1 year, to be extended to a total of 4 years upon excellent performance (an evaluation will be held after 8 months). The PhD thesis should be finalized within four years. In this period, the candidate will also be expected to do some teaching (20% of the time).



Applications
Applicants should send their CV and a covering letter to: Universiteit van Amsterdam, Personnel Department, Bernadette Clemens, Roetersstraat 11, 1018 WB Amsterdam , The Netherlands. Applications may also be emailed to applications-feb@uva.nl. Please include the job reference number. The closing date for applications is 5 April 2008.

Tuesday, March 04, 2008

This Tune

This Tune

I’ve got to tune my ear for you.
I’m listening but I don’t know what I’m hearing.
It’ll take more than one listen and more than one play,
to get me to sing and dance that way.

Never nihilist enough to be you
Never lonely enough to be you
Never lovely enough to be you

Lover I had your love but long didn’t believe it,
so easily given to me.
So when you left me at the bottom of your blue hole
it took me awhile to realize I was an empty tank without you.

Not nihilist enough to be you
Not lonely enough to be you
Not lovely enough to be you

It’s been my long last breath which took all my efforts since to change,
the way you said I never would.
You followed me through my solid black heart of regret
to where I sing this tune.
It’s too late I know for us but not for some other fool.

Not nihilist enough to be he
Not lonely enough to be he
Not lovely enough to be he

Who gives you his trust the way you deserve it.

Now I’m an old man, living in the forest.
It’s where I wanted to be and this is what I wanted for us
without asking you first.
Here I still feel the city in the core of my bones.
There I like to hear the rhythm of more than one player playing this tune,
where I like to hear more than one singer singing this tune.

Not nihilist enough to be me
Not lonely enough to be me
Not lovely enough to be me

I don’t care if you grew roots as deep as an oak tree.
I don’t care if you grew apart and tumbled like a weed.
This is the last mark I want to make on you and it’s a blessing,
long growing silent and listening to her voice.
It’s this tune, it’s not me, it’s just, free, and forgiven.

Not nihilist enough to be me
Not lonely enough to be me
Not lovely enough to be me

Monday, March 03, 2008

Activists Bare Teeth Over Foreclosures




AP
Activists Bare Teeth Over Foreclosures
Saturday March 1, 12:43 pm ET
By Adam Geller, AP National Writer
In Fight Against Foreclosures, Ornery Activists Tackle Countrywide, Nation's Biggest Lender


CLEVELAND (AP) -- Folks on Humphrey Hill Drive were still waking up on the icy Saturday morning the shark hunters came to town. They rounded the suburban traffic circle in a pair of rented school buses after a half-hour ride from far more modest neighborhoods, rumbling to a stop at the Garmone family's driveway. Forty-two caffeinated Clevelanders piled out, their leaders carrying bullhorns.

Their quarry, Mike Garmone -- a regional vice president at Countrywide Financial Corp., the nation's largest mortgage lender -- didn't answer his door. So they deployed, ringing bells at the big homes with three-car garages, handing out accusatory fliers and lambasting Garmone and his company's loans. Before departing, they left their calling card -- thousands of 2 1/2-inch plastic sharks -- flung across Garmone's frozen flower beds, up into the gutters, littering the doorstep.

The commotion was the work of an in-your-face activist group called the East Side Organizing Project, with a paid staff then of just two, mobilized to battle Cleveland's mortgage "loan sharks." Years before the rest of the country was rocked by the fallout from aggressive lending, their neighborhoods were already home to the nation's highest concentration of foreclosures -- and they were fed up.

ESOP's people are proudly loud and abrasive, and they've long reveled in needling people with pull. But could they get a distant behemoth like Countrywide to the table?

On that morning in February 2006, ESOP executive director Mark Seifert had his doubts. For starters, he wasn't sure his group's research on Garmone even had the family's correct address.

Until two evenings later, when Seifert checked his e-mail and found a message from a top public relations executive at Countrywide's California headquarters.

We need to talk, it said.

Seifert broke into a wide grin.

Now that David had Goliath's ear, he wasn't about to let go.

The foreclosure epidemic that has infected Cleveland's neighborhoods started earlier and has been even more punishing than the crisis much of the rest of the country is enduring. It's a symptom of the lax lending that became widely common, without the run-up in home prices that long camouflaged it.

"The problems that exist everywhere now ... showed themselves earlier here because there was no getting out of them," says Zach Schiller of Policy Matters Ohio, a Cleveland nonprofit focused on the state's economy.

The problem is well documented -- Cleveland and the surrounding county saw more than 15,000 foreclosures last year. But to grasp its impact, walk with Nita Gardner down the block of East 113th Street where she raised two boys.

When Gardner, a retired machinist, bought the gray wood-frame house 33 years ago, this part of the Mt. Pleasant neighborhood was filled with families. Their homes on small lots were modest, but maintained with pride.

Have a look at what's left.

The white house on the opposite corner -- its front porch ripped away by scavengers -- fell to foreclosure last year. The home behind it -- blue with plank-covered windows -- went soon after.

A few doors down from Gardner, three homes in a row are abandoned. Three of the four across from them are vacant, too. It's not like some manicured suburban neighborhood, where it's a guess if a house is empty. Here, shredded curtains flap from holes where windows used to be. The silver fringes of insulation hang from walls where aluminum siding has been stripped for resale.

In early 2006, Gardner's adult sons -- who had bought the house from her -- fell behind on their mortgage and the lender, Countrywide, began foreclosure.

Gardner stepped in to fight, although looking at the home's drab exterior and the surrounding neighborhood, it's not immediately clear why.

Until, that is, Gardner opens the front door and light spills over the floor to a mural of an Egyptian pharaoh she painted in gold and azure across the living room wall. Upstairs, a closet door still bears the markings in pen where her sons charted their heights, year after year.

"I just feel like I'm a whole person with this house," says Gardner, explaining her battle to save it. "Because this is not just a house. It's me."

When ESOP held its annual meeting in 1999, organizers were surprised to see empty chairs. They called the missing and found many phones had been disconnected. They knocked on doors and found empty homes.

It was the first sign, Seifert recalls, that people in some of Cleveland's poorest neighborhoods were losing their homes to foreclosure.

ESOP's organizers, until then working with parents on safety around public schools, knew nothing about mortgage lending. But they did know how to raise hell.

That was clear in the mid-1990s, when ESOP demanded that Cleveland officials give money seized in drug busts to struggling city schools.

When Mayor Michael White put them off, ESOP members picketed White's church and ask the pastor to excommunicate him. They set up outside the house of the mayor's father, demanding he talk with his son. To drive the message home, ESOP activists figured out the married mayor had a girlfriend and went to her door with a letter demanding the cash.

The tactics came back to bite them.

"We lost about 90 percent of our funding overnight," Seifert recalls.

The nonprofit staggered. If it was going to be confrontational, it needed to keep the foundations that fed its budget in the loop.

Fighting foreclosures became their new cause. But they brought along old tactics -- a brand of confrontation honed by Saul Alinsky, the legendarily radical Chicago organizer.

"Power is not only what you have," Alinsky schooled his followers, "but what the enemy thinks you have."

ESOP was banking on anger. Clevelanders were losing their homes, organizers concluded, because aggressive lenders had put people in mortgages they couldn't possibly afford.

In 2002, the group began going after lenders, servicers and mortgage brokers.

At one protest outside a branch of Charter One Financial Inc., a police officer confronted an ESOP volunteer in a shark suit.

"Are those your sharks?" the officer demanded, scooping plastic predators from the ground.

"No," protester Christine Regula replied. "I had my tubes tied."

They also pressed public officials to stall foreclosures proceedings. One, Steven Bucha, chief magistrate in charge of foreclosures in Cleveland's courts, recalls being invited by ESOP to a public forum. More than 200 people packed a church basement. Bucha was seated as far as possible from the door.

"A woman gave a fiery speech about how the system had done her wrong, how the system was in collusion with the court -- and here's the guy responsible! And she pointed at me. I really couldn't get a word out," Bucha says. "It was like nothing else I've ever experienced in my life."

Bucha and others say the "guerrilla warfare" approach was counterproductive.

"Nobody likes our tactics, which is precisely why we use them," Seifert says.

One after another, the group squeezed and cajoled eight companies and their subsidiaries into signing pacts giving it direct access to a single executive with the authority to restructure problem loans. The companies have agreed to cut interest rates and waive penalty fees and past-due balances.

Last year, ESOP -- one of four groups that counsel homeowners referred by Cuyahoga County's foreclosure rescue program -- says it got mortgages reworked for about 1,500 homeowners, most already in foreclosure.

"You know, there's a fine line," says Rocky Ortiz, the local director of the Catholic Campaign for Human Development, which provides part of ESOP's funding. "Mark and his people have learned to walk it."

Maybe, but in early going, some of ESOP's targets were local or relatively small. Even some of the biggest were vulnerable, or at least open to discussion.

Could ESOP take on the biggest lender in the country? It was time to find out.

It's called a "rank 'em and spank 'em."

Nominally, it's a meeting. But that sounds too polite, longtime ESOP volunteer Barbara Anderson says. It's a venting session, about as calm as a trading pit. At a rank 'em in January 2006, ESOP organizers declared Countrywide their villain of choice.

A month later, they "hit" Garmone's house in suburban Painesville.

"Please call Mike at home ... and tell him to do the right thing: produce his boss to a meeting with ESOP!" the group urged its followers.

ESOP didn't want just any boss. They demanded Angelo Mozilo, Countrywide's chairman and CEO.

They got a meeting with a pair of executives at the Cleveland office of the NAACP, in May 2006. After 20 minutes, ESOP negotiators walked out because Countrywide's representatives would not sign a pledge to negotiate.

Countrywide will not answer questions about its dealings with ESOP.

"We want that relationship (with ESOP) to continue to improve so together we can help more borrowers," Rick Simon, a company spokesman, said. "Going back to the past doesn't help those borrowers."

But letters Countrywide executives sent to ESOP make clear the company's sharp disagreement with the activists' criticism and its irritation with their tactics.

ESOP organizers and Countrywide executives met again in the fall of 2006. The activists also sat down with officials from the federal agencies that oversee housing, trade and banking to voice concerns about Countrywide.

But the group was having trouble convincing local officials that Countrywide was the villain they said it was, Seifert says. The campaign moved to the back burner as ESOP negotiated an agreement with another lending firm.

The standdown, though, was temporary.

ESOP organizers got Mozilo's personal phone number and instructed homeowners to call him in the middle of the night.

They flooded faxes at Countrywide offices with hundreds of copies of identical forms detailing Cleveland homeowners' problem loans.

They posted signs on the front of abandoned homes owned by the lender: "Countrywide's idea of the American Dream! Tell their executives what you think!"

In April 2007, ESOP ferried two dozen volunteers to a Countrywide office in suburban Woodmere. They walked into the tiny office, located on the town's main shopping strip, throwing plastic sharks, handing out mock foreclosure notices and demanding a meeting with Mozilo, then left when local police arrived.

"We strongly believe that confrontational tactics and deliberate misinformation are not the way to build productive relationships that help Cleveland's homeowners," a Countrywide executive wrote afterward.

In June, a pair of Countrywide executives came to ESOP's offices to meet with borrowers, promising to work with individual borrowers but again refusing to sign the memorandum.

Nine days later, ESOP showed up at a Countrywide office in the University Circle neighborhood, sharks in hand.

In late July, an ESOP regiment headed to Hudson, an outlying suburb, and tried to shove their way into the office of the lawyer representing Countrywide in its Cleveland foreclosures. The company that had been selling the group its plastic sharks heard about their tactics and cut off the supply.

Countrywide, too, was taking notice and it was not happy.

"During efforts to physically force your way into the office, one of the firm employees was actually bitten by an ESOP member," Countrywide's chief counsel, Sandor Samuels, wrote afterward. "We will not enter into relationships with organizations that desire to subject our employees, contractors and Chief Executive Officer to harassment."

Countrywide insisted it was cooperating, saying it had restructured dozens of loans ESOP had brought to its attention.

But the activists said that was not nearly enough, that it was seeking more than piecemeal solutions.

Then, in October, a letter on gold-embossed stationery arrived.

"I am hopeful, for the sake of these families, that ESOP and Countrywide will move forward and work together in a constructive manner to find workable solutions to our customers' issues," it said.

It offered a meeting with the lender's senior management. It was signed: "Sincerely, Angelo R. Mozilo."

On a Wednesday in December, Samuels led a Countrywide delegation to Cleveland. ESOP rented a trolley, seated the executives in the front row for a neighborhood tour and filled the rest with homeowners.

Two rows back sat Lisa Pass, who stood to tell the story of her father-in-law's loan and the home it had put in jeopardy. She was surprised to find the executives were much nicer than she'd imagined. And they were listening.

Nita Gardner was there, too, and she laid out the paper trail she'd assembled chronicling her efforts to hold on to the house. The papers, she says, showed she had repeatedly made the payments Countrywide demanded, but the company still rejected her offers to buy back the house.

Afterward, one of the executives asked her how far she was willing to go to keep the house.

"Do you know what obese is?" Gardner says she answered. "Well I'm the medical standard of obese ... and I'm willing to walk the double yellow line of the Shoreway buck naked to get that house back."

When the tour ended and lunch was served, ESOP President Inez Killingsworth turned to Countrywide's Samuels. Would he sign a promise to negotiate? It was the same memorandum the lender had rejected for nearly two years.

Samuels paused. Then he reached for a pen.

Rising from their seats, ESOP's army cheered.

A few days after New Year's, Nita Gardner's phone rang. If she had money, Countrywide was prepared to sell her her house back.

When real estate agent Jeff Swiecicki, dispatched by the lender, arrived soon after, Gardner was still skeptical. But she signed a contract and handed over a check.

"I signed the paper and I cried," she says. "I told him, you can't go back on this."

Countrywide's decision is one of 50 to 60 loan workouts it has agreed to with homeowners represented by ESOP since December, Seifert says.

In December, the activists expected to reach a comprehensive agreement with Countrywide within four months. A few weeks later, Countrywide agreed to a $4 billion deal that will see it bought and merged into Bank of America Corp. But it has continued to negotiate.

That has the activists looking ahead. The foreclosure problem isn't going away anytime soon. They're changing their name to Empowering & Strengthening Ohio's People, to reach beyond the Cleveland area.

And they're already talking about the next lender they want to go after. They've even got the home phone number for a certain CEO.

Now, Seifert says, all they need is a new supply of plastic sharks.

The Beyond Intractability Knowledge Base

The Beyond Intractability Knowledge Base

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Beyond Intractability